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Recent developments in population projection methodology: A review

Wilson, Tom and Rees, P. (2005). Recent developments in population projection methodology: A review. Population, Space and Place,11(5):337-360.

Document type: Journal Article
Citation counts: Scopus Citation Count Cited 29 times in Scopus Article | Citations

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Title Recent developments in population projection methodology: A review
Author Wilson, Tom
Rees, P.
Journal Name Population, Space and Place
Publication Date 2005
Volume Number 11
Issue Number 5
ISSN 1544-8444   (check CDU catalogue  open catalogue search in new window)
Scopus ID 2-s2.0-24944562646
Start Page 337
End Page 360
Total Pages 24
Publisher John Wiley & Sons
HERDC Category C1 - Journal Article (DEST)
Abstract In this paper we survey five streams of research that have made important contributions to population projection methodology over the last decade. These are: (i) the evaluation of population forecasts; (ii) probabilistic methods; (iii) experiments in the projection of migration; (iv) projecting dimensions additional to age, sex and region; and (v) the use of scenarios for 'what if?' analyses and understanding population dynamics. Key developments in these areas are discussed, and a number of opportunities for further research are identified. Copyright (c) 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords population projections
review
methodology
probabilistic projections
migration
scenarios
world-population
replacement migration
mortality decline
forecast errors
united-nations
lee-carter
fertility
age
accuracy
immigration
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/psp.389   (check subscription with CDU E-Gateway service for CDU Staff and Students  check subscription with CDU E-Gateway in new window)
 
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Created: Wed, 28 Nov 2007, 14:16:08 CST